First and foremost, I also lean toward the under, but the play here for me has to be Pitt -10. 
What is Las Vegas saying?
1) An interconference game, National TV, one of Last games these two are in the big east together, and the line is PITT -10?
2) Pitt has lost 4/5 SU in its last 5 games and was 2-3 ATS in its last 5 games vs such OUT OF CONFERENCE competition as IOWA, NOTRE DAME, and UTAH, who are all solid this year. 
3) UCONN's last 2 covers ATS were against completely mediocre teams in games where there were 30 or less total points scored in the game. 
Whereas PITT's last 3 covers ATS were in games where they scored 35 or more THEMSELVES. 
4) Uconn is 2-2 in their last 4 ATS and was an easy cover against Buffalo (UCONN-8.5) and against USF (UCONN+7.5) who they beat handily on the field . 
5)Speaking of USF, Their only common Victory, UCONN's score was 16-10  while PITT's was 44-17 and they both were underdogs against this common opponent. 
6) PITT failed to cover as -6 and -6.5 FAVORITES agains RUTGERS and UTAH the last two weeks respectively, and now they are -10? 
Vegas knows, and 
PITT -10 is what I chose. 
I also rolled with 
UNDER 42.5 
and that write up can be found @ Cappazoid.blogspot.com
 
 
 
No comments:
Post a Comment