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Why is this a good pick? Well for a few reasons. First and foremost I think Indianapolis is erratic, and the line is sinking with them at home.
Second, The colts are plain old horrendous on D in the RZ.... the browns are also pretty bad on offense in the red zone, but the fact of the matter is the interior Defense of the colts is pretty weak in the area where it matters most...and cleveland can score points on the weaker half of the league. I think the browns take their momentum and win another one on the field.
Rams +6
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The rams have the fifth best defense in the league on points at 18.5 a game, and they are #7 in overall yardage allowed at 311.5 per game. The packers cannot run the rock, and the strength of the Rams defense which has provided them these excellent defensive stats is their PASS D, which happens to be #5 in the league at 207.8 YPG.
Under 45.5 Rams V GB
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The packers have scored 2 RZ touchdowns by the run. they HAVE to pass to score. They are coming off a BIG road win against the best team in the AFC, and this is their Third road game in a row. The Rams have only allow 2 rushing TD in the red zone and I think this game is ripe for a lot of field goals.
Panthers +1
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Panthers will be able to run on dallas. They are also coming off a bye week where I think after looking at film they will see that they lost to three of the best teams in the national football league in a row. They have a lot of learning to do, and there isn't much impressive about their stat line, but I think the bottom line is when you break this all down, dallas is just the same old team that never shows up. To beat cam newton or any superstar, you have to have discipline and I just don't see dallas winning this game. Cam newton is not losing 4 in a row, and dallas is coming off a tough loss, but a big cover in the betting world. Lets see how it goes.
Under 48.5 Jets V Pats
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I think this game is pretty simple. Mark Sanchez sucks. More importantly than his sucking, is WHY he sucks. Sanchez is not capable of putting the ball where it needs to be put, at the speed it needs to be thrown. He loses to teams with complex blitz packages and after letting Seattle score 24 last week, i think the old pats are due for a slow and steady pace. I think after last week's botched attempt at a touchdown (right before halftime) might give old Billy B a slice of humble pie for this week, maybe just get the win and go home? I don't know about you but I think the jets will slow this game down a ton when they have the ball.. keep the clock ticking with slow methodical passes to negate the complex looks they will see, and also maybe some tebow? (one can only hope).
Over 51 Skins V Giants
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A lot of Giant unders this season, and a whole lot of skins overs... hmm..
Well here is how I see it. First off the giants pass D is no better than mediocre, while the Skins pass D Frankly is fucking pathetic. 32nd in the league... I had forgotten there were 32 teams until I saw this. anyhow, the skins are also very poor on the RZ pass D, and ELI has 7 RZ tds to only 1 INTERCEPTION in the RZ. RGIII has 0 Interceptions in the RZ and he is such a dual threat that I think he will be dangerous, despite the giants successful Defensive RZ stats (2 rush TD and 3 Pass).
Also I believe that the giants have not faced an offense such as this in weeks. Their recent games against Cleveland and San Fran were not really what I would call the league's best passing offense, nor would I call those teams UP TEMPO (although cleveland does sometimes get into a shootout).
take the over here, I think the giants may hand a few to the skins and win this one 42 -20
2012-2013
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92-66-1 OVERALL
47-29-0 NFL
45-37-1 NCAA FOOTBALL
finished 6-7 yesterday in Ncaa Football with a great night session after an abysmal start. However we got screwed a few times yesterday on the Florida St. 2nd half, as well as a few others !
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