Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Mo Money Mo problems

1. bowling Green +2.5 V Miami Ohio

I like bowling green here because this is pretty much the last game of the year that means anything for them .. With a 2-7 Record BG is not having its finest season, and coming into this primetime game with Miami Ohio I believe they have a lot to play for at home.

I dont usually fade the home dog and this wont be any different. BGREN are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.(covers.com) and have the impetus to make this game their superbowl. BG won their last game on the field after losing 5 straight prior... I must say after playing on a losing team in college (0-8) One win can make all the difference in a team's morale.



NBA

2. Knicks -3.5 V Golden State
The warriors may or may not be without NBA leading scorer Monte Ellis who suffered a back injury against the raptors in the first game of their East coast Road trip, but i think the key to this game is in the hands of Raymond Felton. Tonight Stephon Curry, who is known for shooting the lights out and making opposing guards look silly, will not have as easy of a time with the likes of felton. In the offseason Felton has been brought to the knicks to give them a solid defensive presence at the point and a sound mind on offense to run D'antoni's game plan. Felton is also a distributor and although the Knicks suffered a poor shooting performance on the Road last night (as predicted) I believe that felton will get his offense going this evening at Madison Square Garden. Lets not forget that the Warriors have not proven themselves on the road by any means and I believe the knicks are indeed a playoff team this year if they can remain healthy. Amare will be WAAAY too tough to stop for the warriors, Knicks 110-103, but i would lay off the total.


3. Under 193.5 Cleveland V Nets

The nets and cleveland are playing the second game of a back to back where each team gets to play at home one night . New Jersey (-3) lost last night in a nail biter to the cavs 93-91. Typically with two teams like this i would expect a low scoring endeavor regardless, but the over under is down 2 points in some places from last nights 195, which hit on the UNDER.

I think we see an example of the nets trying to take a game back on the opposition's floor and as a result, will cause a more defensive game as the two teams Definitely are familiar.
Brook lopez will have to tone it down this evening as he shot, 33% (6/18) from the field last night which is unacceptable for a starting center in the NBA (or anywhere). Expect to see a more offensively sound New Jersey and a low scoring affair nonetheless.

New Jersey 91 Cleveland 84. (im laying off the spread! fair warning)

4. Memphis -1.5 v DALLAS

I put them in caps for a reason. Dallas is the toughest team to predict in the NBA. Dirk could score 40, he could have 10 turnovers, jason terry could have 30 or... 6 on 1-20 shooting....Its tough to bet against them or even WITH THEM as we saw with their inability to cover 3 after being up 10 in the fourth. But let me try to persuade you .

Firstly, Caron Butler is out for this game which will impact the Mavs at the ends and beginnings of quarters as they will have a mismatch at the 3 guard all night with Rudy Gay, especially if they get into foul trouble. Also , The mavericks have had a rocky start to their season with what i would categorize as a mediocre schedule early on. They really havent played anyone huge and have already lost to the Grizz in Dallas this season with Butler active. The grizz do have somewhat of a mickey mouse bench, but their starters are an excellent young core from point guard to center. I think they come out and out do the Mavs whose roster is full of gaps at the guard positions currently. Jason Kidd looks like he should be on the senior tour, and although he is the brett favre of basketball, I gotta say Memphis takes this one at home.


5. Orlando -11 V UTAH
UTAH is coming off of two straight overtime games and had to beat one of the most athletic teams in all of sports (MIAMI) last night by the hair of their chinny chin chin... Most teams dont fair well during the NBA florida trip and I would venture to Say that after a disappointing performance the other night I think Orlando covers here .. Utah's bigs are going to be in foul trouble.

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