Detroit +2.5 v Indiana
----
The pistons desperately need a win and both of these teams are playing a back to back, so I think the team with more impetus to win and the more defensively oriented squad should step up. Charlie V is back for this game so expect him to be a little rusty but still impactful.

Suns V Thunder Over 200.5
-----
I think this one is tough to pull the trigger on... both teams are tired, and the suns played last night. I think the key is, look at the number here. The suns have hit the under 3 times already, but have played the same slow ass New Orleans team twice. I watched the game and the suns missed so many open shots it was impeccable that they won by so much.

Suns will be a little tired, they will hit more shots and play less D, and the biggest key is that NOT ONE PLAYER (maybe shannon brown... maybe) can guard Westbrook. The suns will have to score a lot tonight because they sure as hell wont stop the thunder...

Record UPDATE

2011-2012
----------
233-222-13 OVERALL
83-70-7 NFL
90-94-5 NCAA FOOTBALL (6-7-1 BOWL SEASON)
38-52-1 NCAA BASKETBALL
22-6-0 NBA

suns +2

Grizz -6.5

Under 182.5 Bobcats v magic

wolves +8.5

Correction ucla under 47

iowa st -1.5

Under 54.5 ucla

byu +2.5

NBA thursday Dec 29

Bulls V Kings over 188


Mavericks +5.5


Lakers -4.5


2011-2012
-----
225-221-13 OVERALL
83-70-7 NFL
89-93-5 NCAA FOOTBALL (5-6-1 BOWL SEASON)
38-52-1 NCAA BASKETBALL
15-6-0 NBA

Bowl Play

Toledo -3

Record Update and NBA plays

Under 186.5 ATL V WASHINGTON

Hornets +2.5

San Antonio -4. 5


2011-2012
-----
222-220-13 OVERALL
83-70-7 NFL
89-92-5 NCAA FOOTBALL (5-4-1 BOWL SEASON)
38-52-1 NCAA BASKETBALL
12-6-0 NBA

utah +5.5

NCAA FBALL

Louisville +2.5
----
Winner winner chicken dinner. Thats about all.


5-4-1 Bowls (bad slide last 3 games.)

NBA and record update TUESDAY

Nets +4.5

Under 187.5 Boston V Miami

Boston +9

Minnesota +5

Portland -8.5



2011-2012
-----
216-213-13 OVERALL
83-70-7 NFL
89-91-5 NCAA FOOTBALL (5-4-1 BOWL SEASON)
38-52-1 NCAA BASKETBALL
9-3-0 NBA

nba card

New Jersey +3 V Washington
----
Washington has some high profile players that just arent worth their salt. I will roll with New Jersey who has a solid roster.

Orlando V Houston Over 195
--------
I Could see orlando winning and not covering here. If they are going to win they will need to get the rockets in foul trouble. Both teams have high scoring benches and Jump shots will be falling i believe.

Indiana -8 V Detroit
--------
I just dont think people are on to how good the pacers could be. Granger is going to be the difference here. The addition of David West to compliment the young core of this team I really think they will come out strong tonight knowing

Minnesota +5.5 V OK CiTY
-----
This is going to be closer than most people think.


San Antonio -5 V Memphis
---
I love the grizz as much as anyone, but we have 3 things that factor in.

1. Dejuan Blair is here this time
2. Revenge Factor
3. Spurs get going early because their core is the same as always.


Under 191 Bulls V Golden state :

Dont you think this number is a LITTLE LOW???

Over 27 2nd half Unc game (NCAAF)

Nfl Monday

Falcons @ Saints
------

The falcons desperately need a win, and I am not at all convinced that they are as bad on the road as people make them out to be. They have won three in a row on the road, granted two of which were to indy and an injured houston, but still teams that were playing to win.

They have also won on the road in seattle and at Detroit early in the year.

The saints are very efficient on offense, and they can stop the run. They are not good on pass D and they are very turnover prone. They are almost 2 to 1 in turnovers to takeaways this year.
Saints are VERY good at home, but they also tend to start slow at home, which is not great for giving up a TD to a hungry team which needs to win to get in the playoffs.

one thing the saints have in their favor is they do not allow many sacks at all. Atlanta also does not allow many sacks, and both teams are under 30 allowed for the year, but, neither team possesses an intimidating pass rush of any kind.

Atlanta's D in the RED ZONE is impeccable. They have only allowed 16 RZ tds all year, and its an even 8 and 8 rushing and passing.
Matty Ice is also very solid passing in the red zone, and mike turner is the key to their success because of the run threat he possesses.

I think this game, like many other saints games comes down to 3 things.

1. Turnovers-which against the falcons will be deadly.
2. No mark Ingram- his presence alone makes the saints an NFC contender, otherwise I think they are out of the top 10 in the league.
3. Saints Pass D. With the falcons clicking I think they put up 31.

falcons +7

Not a great weekend

Under 54 bowl game UNC V Misso


2011-2012
-----
210-210-13 OVERALL
83-69-7 NFL
89-89-5 NCAA FOOTBALL (5-2-1 BOWL SEASON)
38-52-1 NCAA BASKETBALL
3-3-0 NBA

Second Half Over 104  Golden state





Under 43 pack v bears

Ok city -7.5

Dallas plus 4.5

Knicks -4.5


Under 185.5 Bulls Lakers


over 208 Golden V Clipps

more to come

OVer 65 So Miss V Nevada
---
We all know So miss can score, and their defense is not incredible, but the question is what about nevada. Nevada plays hawaii every year and although they did not play there this year as hawaii went to their place, I think they will be very comfortable playing in hawaii in a decent bowl.

So miss is riding high after dismantling Houston's season and I think this is a good game for some over action!!!

Nevada +7
---
Nevada can hang in this game . better S.O.S.

Eagles -1

Under 37 and seattle +2

San Diego (pick em) V Detroit
----
What Can I say? Is this a public pick. Yes. Is this a true sucker play, maybe .
All i know is this. Detroit is undisciplined. They are close to the league lead in penalties and have been all season. They play very little defense, and they let inferior teams have the lead and have to come marching back all the time when they should just be winning.

Today they play a very HOT san diego team. Rivers thinks he can still make his mark on this league and he has proven so in the last couple games. They have not played the stiffest of competition with the exception of the Ravens, but I honestly think that Detroit wil have a tough time defending san diego's passing attack. San diego is among the leagues lowest in sacks allowed and they give time for rivers to pass no matter who they play.

The chargers are solid on D and they will definitely be able to hold the lions in the running and most likely in the passing game. I think to take detroit after this line movement is foolish.


but hey I have been wrong before.

NFL SATURDAY

MERRY CHRISTMAS FOLKS. TELL YOUR BOOKIE TO PAY IT FORWARD!!!

Miami +9.5
-----
This season I have paid extra attention to crucial numbers. What that means is, WHERE DOES THE LINE SIT? WHERE DID IT BEGIN? did it cross a crucial number? Yes. This line dropped below 10 and is now a less than 2 score spread. This is also peculiar because this line is very similar to last week's against Denver. New England is coming back east after a long trip to denver, playing a very motivated, vengeful and momentous Miami team. Miami might win this one on the field folks.

Under 44 Washington V Minnesota
------
I have heard a lot of rhetoric about how minny's secondary is awful, which they are. But today there will not be a lot of scoring in this game. Why? Well firstly, Rex Grossman is a good qb, but has 18 interceptions this year. Also washington's pass protection is known to break down at times, and minnesota's pass rush is not so fantastic.

Ponder is unproven on the road thus far, and the fans in washington will be very enthusiastic today with a opportunity for a win on the line. I anticipate a lot of field goals, running, and tipped passes today, along with a few sacks. Helu is most likely out for this game and I think that the under is the play.


Jets -3 V Giants
-------
the jets are just a more solid squad. They do have troubles on offense, but with Osi out of the game, the giants are slipping. Manning will not be dominating the pass game against the jets the way he does against other teams, the jets are too disciplined and are always ready to play at the end of a season, this is where they shine. Manningham is doubtful, Nicks is doubtful, and ballard is out.


Arizona +4.5 V Cincinnati
---------
Think zona is a good match for cincy.



2011-2012
-----
207-204-11 OVERALL
80-64-6 NFL
89-88-4 NCAA FOOTBALL (5-1-0 BOWL SEASON)
38-52-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

UNLV -7.5 For 2 Units.

I believe my analysis of cal was astute the other day vs UCSB, but what I did not realize was how tired UCSB has become, which was obvious the other night.

Cal will not be so lucky tonight, despite coming off some big big wins against bullshit teams, and now UCSB by 20, they may be in for a rude awakening against one of college's best teams.
I was going to bet two games tonight, but fuck it... 2 units here.

Record Corrected

Was shorting myself a win and a loss in my overall record for the last couple days

2011-2012
-----
205-204-11 OVERALL
80-64-6 NFL
89-88-4 NCAA FOOTBALL (5-1-0 BOWL SEASON)
36-52-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

Second half NFL

Indy +3

Xavier 1.5

Memphis +6 V Georgetown
-----
Georgetown is not so fantastic this year, they have a tendency to let weaker teams hang around and if it werent for their coach, they would be plain old shitty.

Georgetown has only 2 wins against teams with winning records, American U & Memphis earlier this year by 3 on a neutral site. Now, They face a well coached Memphis team in a primetime game, and they do so now mid season when memphis has had time to develop their players.

Memphis has many solid games this year and their losses come to good teams, I expect them to cover this spread.



CBB Parlay .25 Unit to win 1 Unit

Florida -9.5 & Airforce +14

Missouri -7 V illinois
----
Mizzo is playing hot, and illinois is falling apart.

Boise state v arizona over 67.5

La Tech

La Tech +10

CBB

Dayton -5.5

2011-2012
-----
200-199-11 OVERALL
79-64-6 NFL
87-88-4 NCAA FOOTBALL (3-1-0 BOWL SEASON)
35-48-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

bowl game tuesday

Marshall V FIU UNDER 49.5
------
Decent offenses on both sides of the ball have bettors thinking that this game will be high scoring. I completely disagree.

FIU has a very athletic and disciplined defense, geared to stop the run and able to stop the pass. Fiu has just changed quarterbacks prior to the final game of the season. Their running game is the strength of their offensive attack and despite TY Hilton I think this will be a game where FIU keeps the clock ticking.

Marshall on the other hand has a decent offense which is more passing than running, but is as balanced as one can be with a mobile qb. Marshall is going to have some trouble with pass protection today, because FIU's defense touts 34 sacks this season due to their speed and strength up front. They also have some very quick and athletic linebackers who are able to respond to second tier plays such as options or screens.

I like marshall, I think they played tough a couple times this year against good teams, and they definitely have improved from the beginning of the year, but I think they will have trouble moving the ball.

FIU is very motivated to get a bowl victory, and I think today they will try to keep a steady pace against Marshall in order to keep their offense rolling down the field for consistent scoring opportunities.

take the under here you will be happy you did.

2-1-0 Bowl season

COLLEGE HOOPS!!!!!!

Mich St Game over 134.5 V UMKC
-------
This game looks to be a shit show, a very high O/U for a poor Umkc team, i think no one plays D in this one.

Rice +3.5 V Temple
---
Rice has had a rough go of it this year, but they have played well in their bigger games, losing by only 4 to a very underrated N IOWA team who continues to rip through college basketball.
I think temple is on very little rest in the second game of a roady where they lost the first.

UCSB +10.5 V Cal (Play of the day)
----
Cal has played absolutely no one in their recent games. They have been cruising through mediocre competition and the only impressive thing they have done all season is destroy SJSU whose only claim to fame is their Defense. SJSU shot 20% in that game overall and I do not think you will see that from a very talented, high paced and hungry UCSB squad.
UCSB has played SDSU, UNLV, San Diego and Washington in its last 4 games, pretty much the CLASS of the west coast at this time. I will take the ten points call me stupid

San francisco -2.5 V Pitt
-----
Perhaps this line is a sucker line, although i see it at three at most of the major books in the world. I believe that the pittsburgh steelers are going to have a very hard time beating the 49ers.

Here's Why:
The forty niners have excellent outside receivers. Say what you want about Alex Smith, but he has a lot of people to throw to. The best of which is CrabTree, but they have Tedd Ginn and Braylon Edwards on the outside along with a corps of strong talent you probably never heard of. On the inside we have vernon Davis. Davis is going to be a huge, huge problem for the Steelers tonight because Harrison is suspended. The steelers will still be able to get pressure, and will probably have somewhere in the range of 3 sacks tonight, but I think they will have to use Polomalu in certain packages to cover davis, which will open up the down field game if blitzing becomes predictable. Lets not forget Frank gore, who will undoubtedly slow the game, but who will also keep the DBS coming up for run support, which makes me think Harrison's absence will be even further missed.

On the other hand, We know ben is hobbling around, trying to get a win so he can sit the rest of the season. He will be sacked somewhere in the range of 3 to 4 times tonight as well, and his offensive line is suspect already. Forget about running on the 49ers at home. JUST FORGET IT. The 49ers will not be run on this evening for more than 85 yards.

SF is also incredible in the Red zone... and I MEAN INCREDIBLE. only 10 TDs allowed this year, NONE on the ground. NONE.
The steelers are also impressive in the red zone, but I think that they will have trouble containing the forty niners offense tonight being so shorthanded at outside linebacker.

I am seeing this game as SF 24 Pitt 13

2011-2012
-----
197-197-11 OVERALL
78-64-6 NFL
86-88-4 NCAA FOOTBALL (2-1-0 BOWL SEASON)
34-46-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

Over 24 Second Half Pats V Broncos
-----
The way I see it, If the broncos score once the patriots will do the rest. OR they might go back and fourth a couple times.

Night game san diego plus two

Detroit -3 V Oak



Broncos +7.5 V NEW ENGLAND

Under 37 Arizona V cleveland

CBB

IPFW V Tenn Martin OVER 141
--------

Tenn Martin is going to score an uncharacteristic amount of points v IPFW.

Early CARD

Cinn -7

Indianapolis +6.5

Carolina +6

Philly -3

UNDER 35 CHI V SEATTLE


2011-2012
-----
192-193-9 OVERALL
74-60-4 NFL
86-88-4 NCAA FOOTBALL (2-1-0 BOWL SEASON)
33-46-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

My boy Mike Ray is the most knowledgeable college basketball fan I know. And he told me this.

"K state will take alabama down low and beat up on them"

Lets see.

K state +1.5

New Mexico -2.5 V OK St.



Bowl pick:

ULL LAFayette +6

Over 47 Dallas v tampa

Utah st pick

NC STATE +7 V Syracuse

Purdue -8.5 V BuTT LER
-------
Butler is not good this year. Get it through your head. Butler is NOT GOOD THIS SEASON.
This is supposed to be a big game, Indiana Pride on the line... WHOO YEAHH!!!
but the line is huge.

Why? Because Butler has played shit for competition and is under .500 This year.
Purdue, has lost only 2 games, both to top 10 teams. Forget the line... this is an ass whippin

temple Minus seven

Temple -7 V Wyoming

Over 137 ARIZONA GAME

Detroit +3 V Miss St

Ucsb over 151.5

2011-2012
-----
186-185-9 OVERALL
74-59-4 NFL
84-87-4 NCAA FOOTBALL
29-41-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

UCSB +8 V Washington
-----
Ill keep betting against washington, especially with a high scoring UCSB team that knows washington well.


C Mich -9 V Illinois Chicago
------
C Mich just came off a 20 point ass whippin and I think they will be excited to play a team that they can beat.

Under 43.5 football tonight

Atlanta -13
------
Falcons facing a hapless, coachless, offenseless team.
Atlanta may not cover here, but I think that there is a distinct reason they are giving so many points.

Under 112 Wisconsin V Savannah St


Under 129.5 Bradley V George Washington


2011-2012
-----
184-183-9 OVERALL
73-58-4 NFL
84-87-4 NCAA FOOTBALL
28-40-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

N illinois +9.5
----
They are winless, but they cover spreads


E washington +9 V UCLA
-----
This is a situation where the oddsmakers know this is the last game of the night so most compulsive bettors are going to take the big name school, but for all intents and purposes this game is NOT at UCLA, E Washington has a much better RPI, and UCLA is terrible on perimeter D.

Second Half Cinn V Wright Under 61.5
--
Cincy is short handed and wright state cant shoot I think this will be a slow second half, still a chance for that initial game under to hit.

Cincinnati Game Under 111


Under 129 Denver V N. Colorado
---
should be a close game, mid tier scoring on both squads.

Wright st plus four vs cinn (Cancelled)
Switched to Cinn -5.5 
Originally I thought that WRight St could hang, then i crunched some numbers and the bottom line is the line movement is too sharp and the Bearcats really need a big win tonight, despite having lost one player I think Wright St. is so bad on offense that we must switch.

Charleston -3

Iona -3

Central Mich +16.5 V Minnesota
------
Minnesota, with only one loss, looks like the team to beat out in that division, but if you notice there are two things that make them NOT the team to bet on today. Firstly, they DONT pummel teams like they will have to today in order to cover the spread. They have beaten some decent teams but they are not a powerhouse by any means.

Also, Minnesota has two players who are Questionable for this game that could be instrumental in a blowout. I like C mich here.

Under 38.5 Seattle V St. Louis
-------
Couple reasons to take the under here. Seattle is not going to be able to pass against St. Louis. St. louis is an awful team overall, and in spite of that have been in the top ten in pass Defense all year against some excellent passing attacks (see New Orleans Game) and seattle is:
A.) Not anywhere near productive in the passing game
B.) Gives up a ton of Sacks (and is facing a St. Louis team that has over 30 sacks)
C.) very good in their running attack.

Meanwhile St. Louis is extremely vulnerable in their running D (#32) and also gives up a good amount of sacks against teams who apply the pressure so I do not foresee them moving the ball at will against a very large and hungry Seattle D.

Lets not forget also that seattle's fans, who are the loudest in the league already, Rarely see important games on their home field and they will be so god damn loud when St. Louis has the ball that I dont think audibles and snap counts are going to be very easy to execute for the Rams.

St. Louis is completely ineffective in the RED ZONE OFFENSE with only 8 overall TDS, while they are very solid in the RED ZONE on DEFENSE Having allowed only 15 TDs on 89 plays.

Seattle's D is in the top ten in Points allowed with just over 20 per game.
They are also solid in their REDZONE D having allowed only 15 TDS in 89 plays as well,
but are pretty mediocre on REDZONE offense having only 15 TDs in the RED ZONE.

I think that this is going to be a game where each team wants to display its talents and I think the talent here is on DEFENSE. UNDER ALL DAY FUCKIN LONG.




2011-2012
-----
181-176-9 OVERALL
73-57-4 NFL
84-87-4 NCAA FOOTBALL
25-34-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

San Diego -7.5 V Buffalo
----
I think last week was the straw that broke the camel's back for Buffalo. It just might be over for them. Meanwhile we know how the chargers play in December, which I think has more to do with teams not wanting to travel this late in the year, but either way this looks like the right play. No matter their Troubles, San Diego has been able to score at will on every team they have played, and now that they have their confidence back, its possible they will play defense for once.

Under 52.5 Oakland V Green Bay
-------
I think that there will be an obvious 40 points in this contest, but bottom line is Oakland HAS TO run the ball in order to have a chance at winning this game, and perhaps they can try to take the crowd out in what most people expect to be a 70 point contest.

Football Redemption

Detroit -10 V Minnesota

-----

Detroit Desperately needs this game. Peterson is out again, and Ponder is one good hit away from being knocked out of the game. Detroit has not been covering lately, and neither has Minny, but I think that Minny's lack of Pass Defense here will certainly cripple them on the road.

Washington +8 V New England

-----

Redskins have an excellent pass Defense, and their linebacking corps is back in action. Pats will also have a tough time if Skins get the run game going, because their Pass D is atrocious and the Skins have been throwing the ball well lately. Its tough to take the skins here, I KNOW, but there is too much public love for New England and I think this is the right play.

Under 37 Cincinnati game

--------

Houston needs a conservative game plan to pull out a much needed win here. They will also need their top tier Defense to show up again this week and stop Cincy on 3rd down. Meanwhile Cincy also needs to tighten up a bit after getting thrashed last outing. Their turnovers were high last game, and I think they will come out and play conservative and try to get a nice win over a crippled Houston team. Looking to see long drives and clock ticking ending with Field goals.

Dallas -4.5

-------

Dallas's d line is very quick and will be able to limit the giants screen game. Dallas needs this game in a BIG way, as they play 2 times against NYG in their next 4 games and will absolutely need to take this one at home. Giants looking at a let down after getting defeated in overtime by the undefeated Superbowl champs, back on the road to a loud DALLAS atmosphere.

Bears V Broncos UNDER 35.5

------

Broncos Put up 30 last week and this week the line is 35-36? lol Well one thing I can say is that Matt Forte is out, and Marion Barber will be running the rock out of the single back formation a lot. Broncos are very good against the run, but a bit undersized and there will be SOME success against them on the ground, but I do not believe it will carry over to the RED ZONE. The Bears HAVE to play good D, because their starting QB and RB are out. The Bears are excellent against the run and although I fear their inability on Pass D, I think that the Broncos will stick to their winning formula.

2011-2012

-----

178-172-9 OVERALL

70-53-4 NFL

84-87-4 NCAA FOOTBALL

25-34-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

2-12 in my last 14 CBB....

Its gotta turnaround soon.


Gonzaga -4 (Rebound game against a poor shooting Mich St.)
Duke- 8 (4-5 ATS, Washington Over Hyped undisciplined)
Cincy +7.5 (Cin Unproven, but Xavier laying 8?)
N. Iowa -8.5 (This team is solid and no one has caught wind)
Kansas +3.5 (suspicious line, decent matchup)
Miami +6.5 (Rest advantage 4 miami, and Westy is inconsistent)

2011-2012
-----
176-168-9 OVERALL
70-53-4 NFL
84-87-4 NCAA FOOTBALL
23-30-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

CBB

Richmond +3 Vs VCU
-------
Many people like VCU again this year because they were very solid last season and they have performed well in spots again this year. Richmond is also a solid team that plays well above the level of their A 10 competition. Richmond can score the rock, they travel decently well, and they should be able to play at a pace today that VCU will not respond well to.

Over 128.5 Richmond Vs VCU
-----
Both these teams put up points, I forsee at least 65 for each squad here. and I saw a couple solid cappers on this. Possible overtime with this rivalry.


Colorado -5.5 V Wyoming
------
From what I have seen of wyoming they are not fantastic, and I think Badlands has this one right.

Under 117.5 Old Dominion V Fairfield
---------------
Fairfield is an up and down team to say the least. I inquired with my cousin who goes to fairfield and he explained that they shoot from the perimeter so often that if they are off, they cant score, and the shooting never stops.

Well when looking into old dominion I saw a couple solid performances on their roster. They did hang tight with #1 Kentucky, although Im sure Kentucky took that game off a bit.
They also held Northeastern, who can certainly shoot the rock to 59 points last game in a victory.
However, the reason I like the under is because both of these teams are similar in their offense, in that Old D can be inconsistent as well. This to me is a nice under game from two mediocre teams, I told myself I wouldnt bet unders in CBB anymore, but fuck it, I am an under guy.



2011-2012
-----
176-168-9 OVERALL
70-53-4 NFL
84-87-4 NCAA FOOTBALL
23-30-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

k state -4.5
------
I didnt like Westy last season, and I sure as hell dont like them here on the road.
Big loss coming in my eyes.

Cleveland +14
-----
This is the way I see this game. Cleveland is coming off a tough loss where they should have scored at least once more to make it a game. But their lack of consistency on offense and their turnovers have limited them. Lets also not forget that Hillis just came off of injury and looked a bit rusty.

Combine that with the fact that cleveland is playing the first of a three game road trip, and Pitt has all but locked in a playoff spot, has many injuries on defense, and they play SAN FRAN next week, which to me all spells a LET DOWN.

Harvard +6 V Uconn
--------
Harvard yes.....yes yes yes.


2011-2012
-----
176-168-9 OVERALL
69-53-4 NFL
84-87-4 NCAA FOOTBALL
23-28-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

Under 68.5 Butler second half

Zona had t o troubles early and they have improved- the way they have done so is by slowing down the game and this will continue tonight

Under 145 arizona v florida

double down

I am esentially doubling down on Marquette by Taking

2nd Half
Marquette -4
---------
this is not going to go the way that Washington would like it to.
Washington blew their load in the first half only to end up down by the end. I foresee some adjustments that limit Washington's scoring effort. Lets not forget about our favorite friends the FREE THROWS!!

Over 145.5 kansas v long beach

TCU -6.5 V Texas Tech
-----
Tech is not a bad team by any means, but they are not really talented enough to make much of a fuss this year. They really only have a chance against big schools when those schools are low scoring, which TCU is not. I know tech can put up points but I think with the line where it is, and with TCUs athletes this is going to be a nice win for them at home.
Oh, and by the way this is Tech's 5th consecutive road game.


Marquette -8 V Washington
--------
I watched Washington's entire game last game, A.) because I bet on the over and B.) because I wanted to have an accurate picture of Washington before this game here.
Washington is a very talented squad FOR THEIR LEAGUE. They just do not play at the pace that a BIG EAST, ACC, or even SEC team plays at. They are very talented, but they make a ton of mental mistakes, and playing Marquette on National TV in Madison Square Garden, these mistakes will be amplified. Marquette Handled Wisconsin, their guards are very strong in comparison to Washington's, and they are going to be geared up for this contest as it is one of the only decent teams they have played in this early season. Big Win here.


Over 125 Tulane V Wofford
-------
Tulane has played some pretty whack offenses. Wofford has played some decent competition, and is not so fantastic on D.

2011-2012
-----
175-162-9 OVERALL
69-53-4 NFL
84-87-4 NCAA FOOTBALL
22-22-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

Jags +3
-----
Jacksonville's front office feels that Jack Del Rio was the problem. So do I. But that is not the entire basis of this pick. I am convinced that this is a very sharp line and that this will come down to the fourth quarter.

Jacksonville is nasty on D. They are so nasty that even though they have one of the worst offenses in NFL history, and are prone to countless turnovers, they still are #4 in the league in yardage allowed and #5 in points allowed.

The Jags can run the hell out of the ball and the Chargers cannot, and I repeat Cannot stop the run. As long as the Jags keep the plays short and the ball on the ground, they will have the upper hand in this contest. Also because of their crowd I lean strong towards the under.

Phillip Rivers is not going to have a bounceback night tonight like many people anticipate, because he is facing a defense that is markedly better than those in his previous contests. Did I mention that Jax is #3 in pass D?? and that the Chargers cannot, will not, should not and do not run the ball consistently.

Detroit +1 V st johns

Miami -3
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Oakland is going to have a hard time with the momentum that Miami has built.


Arizona +4.5
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Dallas is going to have trouble with beanie wells.


Cleveland +7
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Baltimore is terrible on the road.

NYG +6.5
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Cant win all of em, especially against a rebounding Giants team.

Under 38 Atlanta V Houston
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T.J. Yates? Can you say... run the ball?


2011-2012
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170-160-9 OVERALL
65-51-4 NFL
84-87-4 NCAA FOOTBALL
21-22-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

Kentucky -5.5

Tomorrow's Card
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I am down big on college so I am putting 2 units on each of these plays tomorrow.

Texas +3 V Baylor
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Texas has been shaky with their offense as of late, but I think McCoy is going to step up in this game against a terrible Baylor Defense. On the defensive side of the ball, Texas will present some problems for Baylor, this is one of the premier football schools in America, even during an off year they have premier athletes. I think with all the public hype about RGIII and their offense and all of that, this is going to be a nice win for the Longhorns.


Southern Miss +13 V Houston
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Southern Miss is not a great program by any means. But they do have 2 things against houston. They do have a better defense than houston, although neither team bodes incredible competition on its resume. They both have solid offenses, although Houston's is more Tom Brady 2007 and Southern Miss is more like a good southern miss offense. I just dont see how anyone can continue to back Houston when the lines continue to be more and more suspicious, I guess these Houston guys are better than I originally thought, But I will continue to fade these unchallenged assholes knowing that if they get into a precarious situation against a good team, they will surely find themselves in a spot that they have not had to escape from yet this season.


Iowa St +10.5 V K State
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K state can score, we know that. but there are a few things you need to know before making a decision on this game.

Firstly, this will only be the fourth time that K state is favored this season. Iowa State is HANDS DOWN the best team that K state has laid any chalk against. The other three were Kent State, E Kentucky, and Kansas. They are 2-1 ats as a favorite. Also K state won last week on the field after catching a ridiculous sucker line and getting 7 points against TEXAS, who certainly should not have been favored by that much. K state has covered all but 2 spreads this season and look extremely ripe for the picking.
Also, Iowa State held OK St to under 30 last week, and I have a feeling that they will find much more success against K state's porous defense. iowa state can win this game on the field if they show up, which obviously I believe they will.

washington

wash -4 and

over 146.5 WU V NEVADA


Second half Louisville -5.5

Under 135 Louisville VS. Vandy
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Vandy's guards are not nearly as athletic as the talented backcourt of Louisville. I expect to see a press in the first half. Also, both of these teams have played underwhelming competition so far this year and I believe that Vandy will be the best Defensive squad that Louisville has played so far, and the same is definitely true in the opposite direction.

Ohio V NIU OVER 72
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I think both of these team's offenses is superior to the opposition's Defense in a drastic way.
Ohio is going to look to set the tone early and although NIU runs a lot I think they will move the ball well tonight.

OHIO +3.5
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Two good teams and I think ohio has had more success against tough competition.


Syracuse -6.5
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2-3 extended zone leads to easy fast break and secondary points

Over 148.5 Syracuse V Florida

2011-2012
-----
163-152-9 OVERALL
65-51-4 NFL
79-84-4 NCAA FOOTBALL
19-17-1 NCAA BASKETBALL

Plays for Thursday

Bad Luck plain and simple last couple days, but lets get back on the winning side of things.

NFL
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Seattle +3 (No Juice)


Seattle V Philly Under 44


College BBALL
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ALaBAMA -7.5 V GTown


CFB
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South Florida +2




2011-2012
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162-149-9 OVERALL
64-50-4 NFL
79-83-4 NCAA FOOTBALL
19-16-1 NCAA BASKETBALL