Nfl Monday

Falcons @ Saints
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The falcons desperately need a win, and I am not at all convinced that they are as bad on the road as people make them out to be. They have won three in a row on the road, granted two of which were to indy and an injured houston, but still teams that were playing to win.

They have also won on the road in seattle and at Detroit early in the year.

The saints are very efficient on offense, and they can stop the run. They are not good on pass D and they are very turnover prone. They are almost 2 to 1 in turnovers to takeaways this year.
Saints are VERY good at home, but they also tend to start slow at home, which is not great for giving up a TD to a hungry team which needs to win to get in the playoffs.

one thing the saints have in their favor is they do not allow many sacks at all. Atlanta also does not allow many sacks, and both teams are under 30 allowed for the year, but, neither team possesses an intimidating pass rush of any kind.

Atlanta's D in the RED ZONE is impeccable. They have only allowed 16 RZ tds all year, and its an even 8 and 8 rushing and passing.
Matty Ice is also very solid passing in the red zone, and mike turner is the key to their success because of the run threat he possesses.

I think this game, like many other saints games comes down to 3 things.

1. Turnovers-which against the falcons will be deadly.
2. No mark Ingram- his presence alone makes the saints an NFC contender, otherwise I think they are out of the top 10 in the league.
3. Saints Pass D. With the falcons clicking I think they put up 31.

falcons +7