Jags +3
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Jacksonville's front office feels that Jack Del Rio was the problem. So do I. But that is not the entire basis of this pick. I am convinced that this is a very sharp line and that this will come down to the fourth quarter.
Jacksonville is nasty on D. They are so nasty that even though they have one of the worst offenses in NFL history, and are prone to countless turnovers, they still are #4 in the league in yardage allowed and #5 in points allowed.
The Jags can run the hell out of the ball and the Chargers cannot, and I repeat Cannot stop the run. As long as the Jags keep the plays short and the ball on the ground, they will have the upper hand in this contest. Also because of their crowd I lean strong towards the under.
Phillip Rivers is not going to have a bounceback night tonight like many people anticipate, because he is facing a defense that is markedly better than those in his previous contests. Did I mention that Jax is #3 in pass D?? and that the Chargers cannot, will not, should not and do not run the ball consistently.
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