Friday, April 29, 2011

TONIGHTS NBA

SAN ANTONIO +3 V MEMPHIS...
and here's why ...

Okay,
So Im a capper that uses line movement, situational logic and Betting trends to come up with my best angle on every game. So let me briefly break down this situation.

This playoffs has been an overwhelmingly tough span of betting for sharp bettors. The mavericks literally covered every game so far in the playoffs, the public plays have been hitting at record numbers, allowing everyone and their mother to get excited about the oncoming second round...
This series is no different... anyone with the gumption to bet the Grizz in the first five games would have won four and pushed game five. Now the grizz are at home and favored by only 3 points after a huge let down.

If this were two different teams, if the line were higher, or if the grizz hadnt been the bet every damn game prior... I would jump all over Memphis -3... but guess what folks... the san antonio spurs are going to not only cover this spread, but most likely win the game and push this to game seven. Not only that.. but since the line has moved 2 points in some places, it makes me believe that IF the GRIZZ do win, it will be by 1 or 2... as vegas often looks to split the action on sharp lines.

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