Wednesday, October 26, 2011

CFB WEDNESDAY

First and foremost, I also lean toward the under, but the play here for me has to be Pitt -10.

What is Las Vegas saying?

1) An interconference game, National TV, one of Last games these two are in the big east together, and the line is PITT -10?
2) Pitt has lost 4/5 SU in its last 5 games and was 2-3 ATS in its last 5 games vs such OUT OF CONFERENCE competition as IOWA, NOTRE DAME, and UTAH, who are all solid this year.
3) UCONN's last 2 covers ATS were against completely mediocre teams in games where there were 30 or less total points scored in the game.
Whereas PITT's last 3 covers ATS were in games where they scored 35 or more THEMSELVES.

4) Uconn is 2-2 in their last 4 ATS and was an easy cover against Buffalo (UCONN-8.5) and against USF (UCONN+7.5) who they beat handily on the field .

5)Speaking of USF, Their only common Victory, UCONN's score was 16-10 while PITT's was 44-17 and they both were underdogs against this common opponent.

6) PITT failed to cover as -6 and -6.5 FAVORITES agains RUTGERS and UTAH the last two weeks respectively, and now they are -10?

Vegas knows, and

PITT -10 is what I chose.



I also rolled with

UNDER 42.5
and that write up can be found @ Cappazoid.blogspot.com

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