Sunday, October 23, 2011

NFL SUNDAY BABY!!!!

Atlanta V Detroit
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I think that the oddsmakers got this one right on, this is going to be a closer game than most think. ATL is not so wonderful on paper, they do not pose a deep threat, their interior game has not rendered much to write home about and their pass Defense is not that great, that being said, they are an experienced team with a bit of momentum and something to prove. Detroit got exposed last week by a very good San Fran team and I think we will see closer and closer football games as the lions start to play stiffer competition.

Leans: ATL +3.5 and Under 48.5
Play: UNDER 48.5

Tenn V Houston
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What I see here is that vegas is setting a line where the home team is the favorite. I understand that, I dont see why, but I get where they are headed. To me this looks like a situation where defense beats offense and the mediocre Defense of houston will give way to an efficient Titans short attack perhaps. Titans are coming off a bye and I think they may have something to show us that no one is anticipating. This is a very important game for the titans.

Leans: Tennesee -3 and OVER

Plays: Tennesee -3 -105 Juice

Cleveland V Seattle
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Well, this is a shit game. No doubt about it. We have the best player on both offenses injured, we have two teams that dont score a whole lot, and two defenses that are good at one thing, and very bad at another.

I think that dependent on line movement you could see a good play on the under, this IS a low total. But please be weary because I think that Charlie WhiteHurst is a very good QB especially for a backup, and he will move the ball into at least field goal range. Also, Colt McCoy is going to torch this Seattle Secondary in the 2nd Half, so maybe there is a second half over play somewhere in the cards.

Bottom line, I like the browns b/c seattle will get stopped in RZ
Leans: Cleveland -3/ Under 41
Plays: Cleveland -3


Chargers V Jets
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I think this is an ass whippin waiting to happen for the Chargers. They have SOME talent, but I really dont see where the offense is going to come from against this Jets D. yes the Jets have gotten beaten up by the more talented teams, but I gotta be honest with you, who you have played in previous weeks not only shows your level of recent competition and gives a curve to your stats, but it also displays your team's mindstate and preparedness.

I would take the jets in this game if they were -7, perhaps im missing something huge.

Play: Jets Pick Em


Panthers V Redskins
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I think that people have caught wind of the panthers and their ability to stay in games with their athleticism, which consequently means they can cover spreads. Well those who found that out may have joined the party after the keg was already tapped, because the Panthers will not cover this week. Yes the Redskins are in a transition and very unhappy with their offense, and yes I agree that the panthers have played a tough schedule against the Saints Falcons, Packers and Bears, but the bottom line is this,

The Panthers have NO RUN DEFENSE.
and although the QB situation is changing, one thing that will not change is the Redskins and Mike Shanahan running the ball. they are going to pound it down their throat which may also spell under cuz the panthers wont be able to run the ball themselves without Newton putting himself at risk.

Leans: Redskins and under
plays: Redskins +2

OAK V KANSAS CITY
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Final Assessment: KC is not a great team, OAK looks good this year but has a big ? mark at QB, which has been their biggest improvement in the last year and the biggest difference maker. I think this game is a slow paced running game, I know Cassell will look to throw but it seems like he hasnt had the passing time to do so this year with 10 sacks against in only 5 games. I think both teams will look to Run and KC with 2 weeks to prepare will have a solid game plan that doesnt involve getting into a shootout with a team that can score 3 to 4 rushing TDs alone.

Play: Under 41



2011
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73-66-5 OVERALL
32-22-2 NFL
41-44-3 NCAA FOOTBALL

2010-2011
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725-676-31 OVERALL
181-154-5 MLB (Up 16.33 Units)
(Records Below are closed out)
80-76-5--- NFL
279-253-13 NBA
123-116-4 NCAA (bb)
65-77-3 NCAA FOOTBALL
3-4 Misc (down .2 units)

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