Tonight's Tuesday Football

Yes folks tuesday football is back in action we have FIU taking on Arkansas State, my word what a barn burner!

despite the pleasantries we have business to attend to so lets get down to the breakdown.

FIU +3

I see a lot of good things from the stat sheets of both of tonights squads. I think the Ark St. D is very solid against the pass, and I have seen that they limit the big play in their past contests. They do not let up many TDs through the air, and through their troubles have slowed down some decent running teams, but havent really shut anyone down.

FIU is a solid team dependent on who you talk to. they have two good running backs who split their duties, they have a solid QB, who has only thrown one pick all season (he did miss a game due to injury) and that tandem has lead FIU to some good performances against tough competition.

But there are two things that make me NOT want to take ARK ST.

1.Ark St-8 INT's, 9 Fumbles, 5 Lost.
&
2. Ark St hasn't beaten or played well against any decent team. All their wins came against current 1 and 2 win teams.


I feel that FIU is a high scoring squad when they play teams at their mediocre level of competition, and to be frank, although STATE held V tech to 26 points, We have to remember what kind of offense they run at V Tech. They run and run and run some more, play action short passes, options and off tackle running. They did have some good defensive possessions against V Tech but they CERTAINLY did NOT stop them by any means.

Part of Defense is OFFENSE, and FIELD POSITION. the reason Beamer's boys, and everyone else who has beaten ARK ST can keep in the game, despite a solid defensive approach, is because the offense is nothing to write home about.

A QB w. 6 TD 8 INT?
A Running game with no 200 yard performances?

Lets not forget their big wins were over teams with -18 and -20 spreads!!
they in fact, have covered EVERY TIME they have been a favorite this season!!
while FIU is 3-3 ATS and has only been a an underdog of under 6 points once, against a much stronger team in LOUISVILLE (who they beat on the field)

I just think this whole mess has to be a game where the oddsmaker gave the home team the favorite and the average bettor who knows Jack shit about these two teams is going to look at the V tech game and their decent defense and say ... ill roll with the home favorite who has covered 5 of 6 ATS this year.

to me thats a disaster.

Florida International.