Wednesday, October 19, 2011

World Series


So here's the skinny. I Handicap Football and Basketball mostly and have been doing so for 4 years now. For some crazy reason, four seasons of football and basketball (2 pro/2 college) per year was not enough, lol so this season I decided to start handicapping baseball. 

this is my record in my first year of handicapping. 

177-154-5 (UP 11.77 Units) 

and subsequently this is my first World Series, but with that said. 

Tonight I am rolling with UNDER 7.5 
Carpenter V Wilson. 
FOR 2 UNITS. 

I do not make a a lot of two unit plays, but folks ...

Here are a couple reasons why. 
-If this game were in texas, and had a DH I would certainly be more weary of Wilson's poor reputation vs left handed batters. BerkMan would be DH, but since he is inept in the outfield, one of the best hitters in baseball is a pinch hitter most of the time in NL games after August. 

-If this were game 5 as opposed to game 1, I would also be worried about the under for a familiarity issue, and CJ Wilson has not pitched so well so far so you have to factor that in. 

-If these Managers let their starters become fatigued throughout the course of the late season and playoffs then I would lean OVER or perhaps toward a side, but because their Bullpens have been on the field as much or MORE than their starters, we have to believe that the ACES from each squad are somewhat fresh. Furthermore these two savvy managers can keep a low scoring game by continuing to have no fear in utilizing their deep bullpens respectively. We have seen pitchers out in the 4th INNING here, completely showing respect for the pitcher/batter matchups. 

Bottom line, TAKE THE UNDER!!!
7.5 all day. 


2011-2012


-----------
65-59-5 OVERALL
32-22-2 NFL
33-37-3 NCAA FOOTBALL

2010-2011
----------
721-676-31 OVERALL
177-154-5 MLB (Up 11.33 Units)
(Records Below are closed out)
80-76-5--- NFL
279-253-13 NBA
123-116-4 NCAA (bb)
65-77-3 NCAA FOOTBALL
3-4 Misc (down .2 units)
-----------

2011-2012
-----------
65-56-5 OVERALL
32-20-2 NFL
33-36-3 NCAA FOOTBALL

2010-2011
----------
721-676-31 OVERALL
177-154-5 MLB (Up 11.33 Units)
(Records Below are closed out)
80-76-5--- NFL
279-253-13 NBA
123-116-4 NCAA (bb)
65-77-3 NCAA FOOTBALL
3-4 Misc (down .2 units)

65-56-5 OVERALL
32-20-2 NFL
33-36-3 NCAA FOOTBALL

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