early NFL

Miami +4
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This is a tough game to handicap but there are a few stats that pop out to me. Firstly I think that Miami has had a ton of trouble passing the ball, and most of that is due to their inability to protect the QB. I had Miami to cover last week based on the idea that Moore would settle into the offense in his 2nd full week of starting. I think this week we will see more of the same, the chiefs do not possess a good pass rush, and with their crippled secondary, I believe they would be foolish to send linebackers and DBS on the blitz because they will leave themselves vulnerable to the underneath pass to Bush as well as the deep pass to marshall .

Saints -8
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I think this is going to be an ass whooping by the saints. We need to remember a couple things about last time these two teams played. Firstly, Tampa caught New Orleans at the end of 3 weeks of road games and caught them at home ripe for the picking. At the time NEW ORLEANs had just played two cup cake teams in Jax and Carolina, and got shell shocked by the Tampa crowd and interdivision enthusiasm. This game, the Saints come off an EMBARRASSING loss to the formerly winless Rams, where the saints had an incredibly hard time adjusting to life without Mr. Ingram. I think this week the saints bounce back with flying colors, and simply put up too many points for Tampa's mediocre (at best) offense to handle. This game could get real ugly as I believe we will see what sean peyton is made of as a coach. Can he get his team to bounce back after poor performances against sub par competition? we will find out.

Under 44 Jets V bills
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I felt this way since before capping the game statistically and I feel even stronger now. This game is going UNDER 44. The jets cannot score alongside the bills, they will absolutely need to maintain possession on offense and make 3rd down stops on defense. The bills will look to pass, but will not have an easy time doing so as the Jets pass rush has vastly improved as of late, and their DBs will be able to man up against buffalo. Buffalo wants to, needs to, has to run the rock with Jackson, and will take advantage of the Jets inability to stop the run in the open field, or in the RZ for that matter. Both of these teams have solid kickers and will play this interdivision game very tight to the hip. I expect a 17-14 win by one of the teams( not sure which) and the under to hit with flying colors. The Jets will be hampered by a banged up Burress, and that will be a factor in their RZ productivity. and by the way.. the public is LOVING the over, and the number is very low for a bills game, especially seeing that the OVer is 10-3 on the year for these two teams.


Indy +7
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I think ATLANTA is ripe for the picking. I also think the under is a solid play because of how turnover and mistake prone both of these teams are. But in the long run that can be just as much of a problem for the under as it is an asset.

Also, I think picking the colts is insane, but also extremely sharp. You have painter who is starting to get in the flow of things, you have the colts who are playing their first home game in a month... a lot of talk about how the Colts are useless without manning, one sportscaster saying "my vote is for Peyton Manning for MVP, because his team clearly cant function without him"

I think this game is a tough one to make a play on and will need to discuss with the fellow cappers. But I wanna lay it down on the colts.