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Illinois +1
Michigan has played great this year in the Big House, but have lost on the road at Michigan State and Iowa. I think the road woes continue this week at Illinois. Illinois has suffered three tough losses in a row, all to solid teams, but are now back at home and coming off a bye. I think that helps them get back on track against Michigan. Illinois' defense is on the small and quick side, and I think that could be an advantage against the speedy and dangerous Denard Robinson. Illinois also lost a heartbreaker last year in Ann Arbor, and I think they will be looking for revenge in a game that could get their season back on track.
Iowa +2.5
Michigan State is another team that has struggled on the road this year. Iowa, meanwhile, is coming off a nice home win against Michigan, and looks to continue their success at home. With the exception of the win over Wisconsin, State hasn't done anything overly impressive this season. All the taclk about State's stellar defense was probably a little exaggerated, as they racked up good stats against weak opponents. Nebraska did a great job stopping MSU's offense recently, and I think Iowa can learn a thing or two from watching that tape. Iowa has been a completely different team at home this year, and I think with a steady dose of Marcus Coker, who has been playing much, much better, and Vanderburg, Iowa can do enough in this game to pull the W.
Texas A&M -6
Texas A&M has had two tough games, but I still think they are a very good football team. Kansas State's defense has gotten lit up the past two weeks, granted by very good quarterbacks in Landry Jones and Brandon Weeden, but Ryan Tannehill is no slouch either, and will probably have a big day unless something drastic changes for K State. Both teams can score, but I think the defensive side is the difference in this game. A&M's defense is pretty solid, while K State's has shown itself to be vulnerable. Kansas State is a team with a lot of heart, and A&M has melted down late in games several times this year, but I think there is every reason that A&M should win this football game.
Ohio State at Purdue Under 45.5
Ohio State faces a tough road test in this game at Purdue, who has played some good and some bad games this season. Ohio State has a talented but young quarterback in Braxton Miller, and will probably look to pound the ball with Boom Herron more than anything on the road here today. After playing Penn State close and beating Illinois, Purdue has dropped back to back games at Michigan and Wisconsin. Both blowout losses came to teams with high-powered offenses, while the low-scoring, close contests were against more defensive teams. I think Ohio State, though their offense has improved, definitely falls under the defensive teams category. Ohio State's defense has been solid all year, and I think they will do a good job limiting Purdue's effectiveness today. However, Purdue needs to win two of its last three games to become bowl eligible, and I think we see a spirited effort from them today in front of the home crowd.
Louisiana Tech -1.5
Louisiana Tech is a pretty solid squad, whose been playing much better after a 1-4 start to the season. Let's not forget, though, that three of those losses came to very talented teams in Southern Miss, Houston, and Mississippi State. Ole Miss on the other hand, is a bad football team with too much youth and inability to finish football games. Louisiana Tech's quarterback Colby Cameron is playing very well right now, and I look for him to continue his success against a relatively weak opponent in Ole Miss. Houston Nutt's job is in jeopardy with a string of in-conference losses, which never helps the team, while LA Tech is rolling along and competing for a WAC championship. I look for LA to play well today and knock off the Rebels.
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