MNF

Last week I got completely screwed on the Under play. 17 points in the last 2:15 of the first half, made me lose my under by 6 points.

But I am not discouraged and I believe that this game will go Under

MNF
Vikings @ Green Bay UNDER 50.5 & Minnesota +13.5

First off lets start with the facts. This is a very interesting game, the two teams know one another well and played less than a month ago in Minnesota. Ponder looked incredible and kept the game extremely close, but inexperience and Minnesota's weak pass Defense ended up giving Green Bay a win. Tonight there is just too much at stake to let GB pass all over the field. Minnesota has had 2 weeks (bye) to come up with a game plan to slow down the best team in football. Their offense is improving thanks to McNabb's departure and AP's resurrection, and now they look like a formidable team.

This is like the Superbowl for the Vikings, and I think their strategy will keep them in the game.
What the Vikings need to do, is control the clock, and not allow the game to get to 60 points like last time. What they will need to do is utilize their play action and keep the defense on their toes as much as possible. Some long pass plays are fine to keep them honest, but this is a team that they should be cautious about giving the ball back to. Not to mention they have let up 22 sacks this year, and need to get rid of the rock immediately.

On offense the packers have let up 20 sacks to their opposition. Minnesota has not had the best year as a team, but they have 24 sacks on the season as a defense, and can definitely use their highly paid interior linemen to even out the battle. I see a very sharp number in this over/under, and to me this might even hit 48 points. But the under HAS to be the play, b/c even if this strategy is completely unsuccessful, it will eat up clock on both sides of the football.

Not to mention, this is a decent interdivision rivalry, and Minnesota lost both games to GB last year, and already dropped one at home this year. This is going to be a closer, more hard fought game, then people think. Green Bay may not be facing the best team they have played this year, but still this could prove to be one of their tougher tests this season.