Thursday, November 17, 2011

Under 41 Denver V NYJ
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The amount of points these two teams put up should say OVER OVER OVER to the average bettor. But like betting many team sports (really ALL team sports) you have to look at the MATCHUP. This matchup is going to yield very few points. Jets D got TORCHED the other day, granted it was by TOM BRADY, but the bottom line is they are going to play very tight defense in this game tonight and I believe there will be 7 to 8 in the box all night long. Tebow may very well have success against the Jets just because he is versatile enough to surprise them, and also because the Jets will be playing a bit outside of their comfort zone, but all in all this game Spells UNDER!!! both burress and holmes have been banged up for weeks and they have only been able to Rest 3 days (maybe less considering Travel time across the country) and I dont see a lot of points being put up here. Jets have activated another young running back to help out greene because they KNOW they have to run tonight and Tomlinson is OUT, which by the way also hurts their short passing game and may lead to more dropped passes by Greene and his backups, more sacks because tomlinson is the best blocker on their RB corps and more throw aways. expect some option, some jump pass, and some ELECTRICITY in DENVER tonight. Denver has covered 0 games at home, and they HAVE to be due at some point to perform for their home crowd. the Jets meanwhile have not proven themselves on the road and although its a short week for both teams, Jets lose a day in travel, and some extra time for having played the late game on sunday. Betting Denver is almost like hedging the under because maybe both teams fizzle out in the second half due to a lack of rest. 

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