Wednesday, November 9, 2011

Well, No body likes a losing streak. Especially 3 games in 2 days... YUCK.

But I think I have the train back on the rails so to speak with this pick . Plus College BBall starts tonight officially so I think we are in for a fun comeback week.

Temple -13.5
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Few things stand out to me about this game. Temple has been very poor their last 2 games, and even prior to that, they were playing well against some pretty mediocre competition prior to their two losses. I think they come out with a vengeance tonight and there is some evidence that could substantiate that.

Temple has failed to cover 2 straight as a favorite.. but played 2 VERY close games against decent MAC competition and now they are an overwhelmingly large favorite with very little public support.

Another thing is Miami Ohio's last two games were covers, and 4 of their last 5 ATS were covers, But beating up on Buffalo and last week AKRON is not impressive, and the oddsmakers must agree, cuz otherwise this would be MUCH less chalk for such a hot ATS team which started so cold early this year against better competition.

Also, every spread this season where Miami Ohio is a large underdog of 7 or more, they lose ATS and get CRUSHED on the field. Perhaps the betting public is aware of a break in the trend? but I dont think so .

Finally, there is the angle that they are coming off of a cupcake game vs akron and it will take them a quarter or two to get back in the swing.

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