Wednesday, November 2, 2011

more on tonight's play

---

So why Ohio? Okay okay, so you know my style, I like to fade the public, but ONLY when applicable. This situation to me is very applicable.

To start, I like the under in this game, and I think the total is indicative of what sort of game it will be. Ohio lives off of a running Qb and a short passing game. Temple lives off of their Running game, point blank period. Both teams have solid defenses and Good athletes on both sides of the ball. Plus there is familiarity between the two which favors the defense, but why does this matter for the Spread??

It matters because Temple will struggle to run the ball tonight against Ohio's D, which possesses a good interior rush and solid linebacking corps. Temple will not want to pass, but they may have to on third down, and Ohio's pass rush is solid, which will hamper any passing offense from Temple in my opinion.

Ohio has been beaten up by a few teams, but they also are returning two key defenders this evening, DT JONES and CB LEFTWICH who are both integral to this defense, and will do better this evening against temple. Ohio really can possess the ball tonight by mixing up the pass, option and run, to get temple in a similar position to what Toledo did earlier in the year. I think honestly toledo is a better team than Ohio, in a better conference, but this should be a game where they can come in and get a lead, which will force Temple into a game of Catch up that they are not built for.

I think Keller is going to hunt down the Temple Running backs, and this should be a game where Ohio comes out on top.

No comments:

Post a Comment